Even as recently as the weeks before this year’s election, only 48% of those surveyed said democracy was the best form of government, ranking Guatemala last in the region, according to not-yet-published data shared by researchers at Vanderbilt University’s LAPOP Lab, which conducts the AmericasBarometer surveys.
But since the election, Guatemalans have seen attempts by losing parties and the attorney general’s office to challenge the results. Arévalo has characterized investigations into his party and electoral authorities as an attempted coup d’etat and the Organization of American States observation mission said prosecutors’ actions appeared to be aimed at keeping Arévalo from taking office.
Sandra Paz, 55, marched through the capital waving the Guatemalan flag Monday.
“I’m here in support of our new president’s democracy, so that he can do his job without corruption,” said Paz, who lives on the outskirts of Guatemala City. “I’ve come to the capital, I have arthritis, it’s painful to walk, but I’m here supporting him.”
Rachel Schwartz, an assistant professor of international and area studies at the University of Oklahoma who was a research affiliate and Guatemala expert on the AmericasBarometer survey, said that while the survey data was gathered before the election, what she has seen since suggests the tumultuous electoral process has struck a chord.
“I think that based on what I’ve seen on the streets and in the Plaza de la Constitucion and on social media, I think this process is mobilizing people,” said Schwartz, who was in Guatemala for the first round of voting in June.
She said that Guatemalans’ perceptions of democracy are very much intertwined with their perceptions of corruption.
Some 76% of Guatemalans surveyed said that more than half or all of the country’s politicians are involved in corruption, the highest level ever recorded in the country, and trailing only Ecuador and Peru this year.
Then along came Arévalo, the last anti-corruption candidate in the race. His campaign resonated with voters, especially with young voters when contrasted with former first lady Sandra Torres, who was associated with the establishment, in the Aug. 20 runoff.
A central target of this week’s protests has been Attorney General Consuelo Porras. On Monday, protesters shouted: “Resign Consuelo!”
Guatemalans’ trust in the attorney general’s office has declined steadily since reaching a highpoint in 2017 and this year registered 42%, according to the AmericasBarometer surveys.
Porras took over as attorney general in 2018 and in 2021 was sanctioned by the U.S. government for being an undemocratic actor and undermining investigations into corruption. She has denied any wrongdoing.
Porras’ office has ongoing investigations into the way Arévalo’s Seed Movement gathered the necessary signatures for its registration years earlier, as well as into allegations of fraud in the election that independent observers have said are unsubstantiated.
Arévalo is among those who believe that the country’s democracy has been on shaky footing, but he sees that changing since the election. Now, more people “are betting on democracy,” Arévalo said in a recent interview with The Associated Press.
“Because in some way this corrupt state that we have lived with has authoritarian government practices (hidden) beneath the shape of democratic institutions, and the people are beginning to see that that does not lead anywhere,” he said.
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Sherman reported from Mexico City.
